Featured in FT Adviser
House price growth slowed for the first time in six
months in January as the market approached the deadline for the stamp duty
holiday on March 31.
Annual house price growth slowed to 6.4 per cent, from
7.3 per cent in December, according to the Nationwide house price index
published this week (February 2).
The average property price in January stood at £229,748,
down from £230,920 in the month before.
Robert Gardner, chief economist at Nationwide, described
the deceleration as “modest”.
He said: “House prices fell by 0.3 per cent
month-on-month, after taking account of seasonal effects – the first monthly
decline since June. To a large extent, the slowdown probably reflects a
tapering of demand ahead of the end of the stamp duty holiday, which prompted
many people considering a house move to bring forward their purchase.”
|
Jan-21 |
Dec-20 |
Monthly Index (seasonally adjusted) |
460.7 |
462 |
Monthly Change (seasonally adjusted) |
-0.30% |
0.90% |
Annual Change |
6.40% |
7.30% |
Average Price (not seasonally adjusted) |
£229,748 |
£230,920 |
Mr Gardner also said that shifts in housing preferences
were likely to provide some support for the market looking ahead. But he
added that housing market activity was likely to slow and “perhaps sharply” in
the coming months if the stamp duty holiday ends as scheduled, and labour
market conditions continue to weaken.
Jeremy Leaf, principal at estate agency Jeremy Leaf &
Co, commented: “The slowing of the pace of price rises is no surprise and is
what we have been seeing on the high street since Christmas. Nevertheless, we
expect a softening in prices and transaction numbers rather than a major
correction. Most sales arranged are progressing to exchange of contracts
without renegotiation, and movement restrictions only build up more pent-up
demand, to say nothing of the shortage of listings, which only increase upward
pressure on price. Those likely to miss out on the stamp duty saving due
to backlogs tell us they would prefer to compromise on price rather than miss
out on the property they have set their hearts on.”
You can read the rest of the article here.
No comments:
Post a Comment